Penn 
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 94.2612
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
215 A Georgetown Big East (10- 5, 95.6) 6- 8
218 H Albany America East ( 7- 8, 93.2) 14- 8
222 A Delaware CAA ( 7- 6, 92.7) 10- 2
228 A No Carolina ACC (10- 4, 97.3) 8-16
302 A Duke ACC (12- 5, 97.1) 6-11
308 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 93.9) 11- 8
315 H Brown Ivy ( 3-10, 93.0) 9- 8
318 H St Josephs Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 95.0) 10-11
322 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 8- 5, 94.5) 8- 9
329 A Cornell Ivy (14- 1, 99.9) 5-15
405 H Yale Ivy ( 5- 8, 94.8) 11-14
412 A Harvard Ivy (10- 4, 96.7) 6-13
419 H Princeton Ivy (12- 3, 98.0) 8-12
426 A Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 98.3) 8-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 A Georgetown 6- 8 -2 -2 0.18
218 H Albany 14- 8 6 2 + 3.11
222 A Delaware 10- 2 8 1 ++ 4.35
228 A No Carolina 8-16 -8 -4 -1.07
302 A Duke 6-11 -5 -4 -1.28
308 H Villanova 11- 8 3 1 1.82
315 H Brown 9- 8 1 2 -1.10
318 H St Josephs 10-11 -1 0 -1.08
322 H Dartmouth 8- 9 -1 1 -1.61
329 A Cornell 5-15 -10 -6 0.00
405 H Yale 11-14 -3 0 - -3.34
412 A Harvard 6-13 -7 -3 -1.72
419 H Princeton 8-12 -4 -3 -1.14
426 A Notre Dame 8-10 -2 -5 + 2.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Yale 11-14 -3 0 - -3.34
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
222 A Delaware 10- 2 8 1 ++ 4.35
218 H Albany 14- 8 6 2 + 3.11
426 A Notre Dame 8-10 -2 -5 + 2.87
|
Penn Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Albany |
Penn |
Penn |
 
| |
Army |
Army |
|
Army   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Bellarmine |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Binghamton |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Penn |
Boston Univ |
Boston Univ |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Boston Univ |
Brown |
Penn |
Penn |
 
| |
Bryant |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Penn |
Bucknell |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Canisius |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Cleveland St |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Colgate |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Colgate |
Cornell |
Cornell |
Cornell |
 
| |
Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
 
| |
Delaware |
Penn |
Penn |
 
| |
Denver |
Denver |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
Denver |
Detroit |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Drexel |
Penn |
|
Penn   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Duke |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Fairfield |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Penn |
Georgetown |
Georgetown |
Georgetown |
 
| |
Hampton |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Harvard |
Harvard |
Harvard |
 
| |
High Point |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Penn |
Hobart |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Penn |
Hofstra |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Penn |
Holy Cross |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Iona |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Jacksonville |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Penn |
JHU |
JHU |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
JHU |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
|
 
| Lafayette |
Le Moyne |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Lehigh |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Penn |
LIU |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Loyola |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Manhattan |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Marist |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Marquette |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Penn |
Maryland |
Maryland |
|
Maryland   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
UMass |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Penn |
Mass-Lowell |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn |
Mercer |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Mercyhurst |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Merrimack |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Michigan |
Michigan |
|
tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) |
Michigan |
Monmouth |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Penn |
Mt St Marys |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Navy |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
NJIT |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn |
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
 
| |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
 
| |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Ohio State |
Penn State |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Princeton |
Princeton |
Princeton |
 
| |
Providence |
Penn |
|
Penn   2- 4 vs 0- 6 |
|
Queens |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Quinnipiac |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Richmond |
Richmond |
|
Richmond   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Rob Morris |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Rutgers |
Rutgers |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Rutgers |
Sacred Heart |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Penn |
Siena |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
St B'venture |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn |
St Johns |
Penn |
|
Penn   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
St Josephs |
St Josephs |
St Josephs |
 
| |
Stony Brook |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Penn |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) |
Syracuse |
Towson |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Penn |
UMBC |
Penn |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Penn |
Utah |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Penn |
Vermont |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Penn |
Villanova |
Penn |
Penn |
 
| |
Virginia |
Virginia |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Virginia |
VMI |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Wagner |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Yale |
Yale |
Yale |
 
| |
PowerWise = 52

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Georgetown (10- 5, 95.6) 6- 8 -4.31 14.50 0.86 1.02 -3.54
0 H Albany ( 7- 8, 93.2) 14- 8 -6.67 12.14 -0.86 1.02 11.56
0 A Delaware ( 7- 6, 92.7) 10- 2 -7.15 11.66 0.86 1.02 12.82
0 A No Carolina (10- 4, 97.3) 8-16 -2.57 16.24 0.86 1.02 -1.75
0 A Duke (12- 5, 97.1) 6-11 -2.77 16.04 0.86 1.02 -1.96
0 H Villanova ( 9- 6, 93.9) 11- 8 -5.96 12.85 -0.86 1.02 12.28
0 H Brown ( 3-10, 93.0) 9- 8 -6.88 11.94 -0.86 1.02 11.35
0 H St Josephs ( 9- 6, 95.0) 10-11 -4.86 13.96 -0.86 1.02 -5.85
0 H Dartmouth ( 8- 5, 94.5) 8- 9 -5.39 13.43 -0.86 1.02 -6.40
0 A Cornell (14- 1, 99.9) 5-15 -0.00 18.81 0.86 1.02 -0.88
0 H Yale ( 5- 8, 94.8) 11-14 -5.12 13.70 -0.86 1.02 -6.12
0 A Harvard (10- 4, 96.7) 6-13 -3.21 15.60 0.86 1.02 -2.41
0 H Princeton (12- 3, 98.0) 8-12 -1.92 16.89 -0.86 1.02 -2.84
0 A Notre Dame ( 8- 4, 98.3) 8-10 -1.63 17.18 0.86 1.02 -0.79
------
15.45
|
winning pts = 48.0049 losing points = -32.5523
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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